Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 3.370267 3.726348 4.112439 4.563547 5.077884 5.648053 6.330708
2025-08-24 2.817000 3.284042 3.825271 4.503820 5.338770 6.341710 7.651453
2025-08-31 2.482427 3.005448 3.641356 4.481261 5.576264 6.976428 8.936964
2025-09-07 2.305785 2.880154 3.607031 4.610582 5.986200 7.845407 10.619182
2025-09-14 2.112070 2.704552 3.478819 4.587071 6.170604 8.413284 11.947492
2025-09-21 1.946945 2.546476 3.351838 4.541328 6.304313 8.908029 13.221877
2025-09-28 1.758531 2.338624 3.135015 4.341078 6.182293 8.996562 13.858044
2025-10-05 1.668352 2.258445 3.087694 4.378052 6.412855 9.643925 15.494858
2025-10-12 1.601739 2.205260 3.072545 4.457978 6.713127 10.432205 17.495361
2025-10-19 1.541067 2.155219 3.056325 4.531718 7.006794 11.240067 19.664023
2025-10-26 1.483867 2.105555 3.035542 4.593900 7.284036 12.049253 21.974950
2025-11-02 1.425158 2.049138 2.999213 4.625590 7.508950 12.788003 24.276187
2025-11-09 1.331697 1.935071 2.866896 4.489783 7.430107 12.961980 25.449328
2025-11-16 1.261635 1.853475 2.781105 4.426196 7.476000 13.383192 27.257680
2025-11-23 1.205894 1.791091 2.722006 4.403354 7.594083 13.961893 29.551065
2025-11-30 1.183084 1.779975 2.746242 4.529755 8.010622 15.214425 33.776446
2025-12-07 1.134801 1.724245 2.691371 4.506737 8.128253 15.841422 36.550975
2025-12-14 1.086449 1.665685 2.627821 4.461984 8.196099 16.365835 39.176468
2025-12-21 1.016417 1.567366 2.489811 4.266053 7.930526 16.091002 39.477214
2025-12-28 0.988736 1.539326 2.473368 4.302232 8.159974 17.011343 43.533556
2026-01-04 0.969217 1.524099 2.478488 4.380436 8.488284 18.221475 48.844471
2026-01-11 0.949797 1.507922 2.480685 4.452582 8.810762 19.469706 54.689082
2026-01-18 0.929760 1.489561 2.477606 4.513414 9.113947 20.718964 60.975718